The biggest wave of deals for mobile-phone assets in more than a decade may help Research In Motion Ltd. (RIMM)’s shareholders almost double their money in a sale.
Led by Google Inc. (GOOG)’s takeover of Motorola Mobility Holdings Inc. and Nortel Networks’ patent auction, acquisitions of wireless and telecommunications equipment makers may top $27 billion this year and approach the record in 1999, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. After Google agreed this month to pay a dot-com era premium for Motorola and its patents, RIM, maker of the BlackBerry, may now be worth almost $25 billion, an estimate from Morgan Keegan & Co. showed.
Once valued at $83 billion, RIM has fallen 83 percent as Apple Inc. (AAPL)’s iPhone and Google’s Android platform lured away smartphone customers. With Google also gaining Motorola’s handset business, RIM may now attract interest from Samsung Electronics Co. and Microsoft Corp. (MSFT), Stewart Capital said. A buyer would get a smartphone maker that is still dominant among corporate clients, runs its own operating system and offers greater security with its own e-mail servers. Paying twice RIM’s value of $13.5 billion would still be a discount to rivals.
“It gives a potential acquirer scale and share in a market that’s rapidly being dominated by Google and Apple,” said Malcolm Polley, who oversees $1 billion as chief investment officer at Stewart Capital in Indiana, Pennsylvania. Buying RIM makes sense for Samsung because “Google all of a sudden has become a competitor,” he said.
“It might be valuable for someone like Microsoft that’s trying to make inroads into the handheld space,” he said.
Relative Value
Titus Kim, a spokesman at Suwon, South Korea-based Samsung, declined to comment on whether it would consider buying RIM.
Peter Wootton, a spokesman for Redmond, Washington-based Microsoft, said the company doesn’t comment on rumor or speculation. Marisa Conway, a spokeswoman at Waterloo, Ontario- based RIM, also said it doesn’t comment on rumor or speculation.
Since peaking in June 2008, RIM’s market value has plummeted almost $70 billion. The decline in the stock is the biggest among communications-equipment providers worth at least $10 billion, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
Over the same span, Cupertino, California-based Apple has doubled to become the world’s second-largest company with a market capitalization of $339 billion, the data show.
RIM, which introduced a new lineup of BlackBerry phones this month, a year after its last new devices, is losing out as consumers spurn its aging models for iPhones and handsets running Android software.
Android Platform
Cheaper Android phones are also making inroads in Latin America, Asia and Europe, threatening the popularity of RIM’s less expensive BlackBerry models such as the Curve.
RIM’s share of the global smartphone market fell to 12 percent in the second quarter from 19 percent a year earlier, according to Gartner Inc. Google’s Android became the leading mobile-phone operating system in the same period, rising to 43 percent, while Apple climbed to 18 percent.
About two years ago, RIM controlled more than half the North American market, according to Sanford C. Bernstein & Co.
While Jim Balsillie and Mike Lazaridis, RIM’s co-chief executive officers, said in June that their commitment to RIM is “stronger than ever,” Mountain View, California-based Google’s $12.5 billion deal for Motorola may bolster RIM’s value to potential bidders.
Google agreed to buy Motorola for $40 a share, or 73 percent more than the Libertyville, Illinois-based company’s 20- day trading average, data compiled by Bloomberg show. That’s the highest premium for a wireless-equipment takeover greater than $500 million since 1999, the data show. (more…)